Abolhassan Nouri, the Friday prayer leader in the southwestern port city of Khorramshahr, described the elections as "fraudulent." Voters were enticed and intimidated, and votes were traded, reported a Persian language website close to former Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander Mohsen Rezai.Many Iranians used the opportunity to criticize the regime, noting that the elections were largely a sham. One told the UK paper The Guardian: "The people you see voting here are people employed by the government, and who depend on the government. Ordinary people do not have a good life and they don't vote. Of my family and friends, not one percent are going to vote. All the people on the list are the same. It's all the same regime.”Prior to the election, the Guardian Council, the powerful clerical vetting body, had disqualified nearly 3,000 candidates. Most were cohorts of former presidents Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mohammad Khatami, now rivals to the Khamene’i/Ahmadinejad gang. Most major figures and even many incumbents were never even allowed to run.But make no mistake: the objective was not a complete purge. The ruling faction sought to keep enough of them on the ballot to give the election a veneer of inclusiveness, while ruling out the possibility of a strong rival block emerging. The scheme, known as “electoral engineering” within the inner ranks of the regime, also sought to discredit rivals by letting them in and then dealing them a severe electoral blow. The so called “reformist” faction took the bait.Far from providing a mandate, the elections demonstrated the clerical regime’s determination to silence even the nominal dissent coming from the hapless “reformist” camp. The vote was viewed as nothing more than an opportunity for Khamene'i and his allies in the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) to consolidate the politico-military faction represented by the IRGC’s top brass and veteran commanders turned politicians, like Ahmadinejad. In recent years, Khamene'i has thrown his lot and that of his regime behind the IRGC, at the expense of his traditional ideological and political base.The parliamentary elections also exposed the reality that just beneath the veneer of Tehran’s claims of popular support for its rogue regional and nuclear ambitions lays a regime despised by its people, who desperately seek real democratic change. This reality reveals the IRGC-centric regime of the ayatollahs as vulnerable, and leaves it little room to maneuver.The path of confrontation was chosen long ago, and Khamene'i must stay the course in the interest of self-preservation. Tehran will continue secretly developing a nuclear bomb (while obfuscating the nuclear issue), will keep training and arming Iraqi militants (while declaring it wants peace in Iraq), and will not relent on the domestic repression (while claiming a popular mandate). The sooner the West recognizes that Tehran has exhausted its capacity to change its rogue behavior, the better it will be able to fix its broken policy and take concrete steps to implement a new approach.The right policy would maintain international pressure and sanctions on the Iranian regime, while recognizing that there is deep, widespread popular hostility to the ayatollahs. The Iranian people and their opposition are the best allies for a peaceful and democratic Iran. They are the ones the West should enthusiastically and urgently engage, not the terrorist tyrants who rule over them. Europe and the United States should stop wringing their hands and wasting time.
By Alireza Jafarzadeh is the author of The Iran Threat: President Ahmadinejad and the Coming Nuclear Crisis
As in the days of Noah....